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Government Bonds: A Natural Choice. Charlie Jamieson

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J.P. Morgan – 1Q24 “Guide to the Markets – Australia”

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The Roundup: Top Takeaways from Oaktree’s Quarterly Letters – December 2023 Edition

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Australian Fixed Interest: Unveiling the road ahead in 2024 – Janus Henderson

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Vanguard economic and market outlook for 2024: A return to sound money

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Capital Group – Outlook 2024: Prepare for changes in the investing climate

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Wall Street

How worried should you be by an increasingly concentrated stock market? (alphaarchitect.com)

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Private Equity

Bell Potter’s top stock picks for 2024

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How Will Equity Markets Perform in 2024? (Behavioural Investment)

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The best thing you could have done in 2023 was to stick to your plan

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Government Bonds: A Natural Choice. Charlie Jamieson

As we approach the eagerly anticipated end of the rate hiking cycle, investors are considering how to position portfolios for what comes next.

While the technical nature of bonds can leave investors overwhelmed, Jamieson Coote Bonds (JCB) believe there are some simple reasons why government bonds are a natural choice. In this series, JCB provide a deep dive into the key reasons we believe government bonds can be a valuable addition to investment portfolios.

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J.P. Morgan – 1Q24 “Guide to the Markets – Australia”

– Slower growth around the world, but recession unlikely
– Markets are pricing in synchronised rate cuts, things not likely to be that smooth
– Equity laggards may not turn into leaders very quickly
– As rate cuts begin, both equity and bonds can do well, cash will suffer

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The Roundup: Top Takeaways from Oaktree’s Quarterly Letters – December 2023 Edition

In 2023, credit markets have experienced dramatic swings in investor sentiment, unexpected geopolitical events, and the second consecutive year of rising interest rates. In the current installment of The Roundup, Oaktree experts consider where opportunities and risks are emerging in various asset classes – including high yield bonds, CLOs, and European real estate – and co-chairman Howard Marks considers what “normal” may mean in this unsettled environment.

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Australian Fixed Interest: Unveiling the road ahead in 2024 – Janus Henderson

Jay Sivapalan, Head of Australian Fixed Interest, Shan Kwee, Porfolio Manager and Emma Lawson, Fixed Interest Strategist – Macroeconomics share the investment outlook for 2024 and identify the macro themes investors should take into consideration as they navigate the future of fixed income.

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Vanguard economic and market outlook for 2024: A return to sound money

A return to sound money. It’s a theme Vanguard have been communicating for more than a year, and in 2024 they believe that the greater investing world will come around to its implications.

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Capital Group – Outlook 2024: Prepare for changes in the investing climate

Heading into 2024, it is difficult to remember another time when the outlook was so uncertain. Recession or expansion? Inflation or deflation? Higher interest rates for longer or central banks preparing to pivot? Against this backdrop, here is Capital Group’s Outlook 2024 report.

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How worried should you be by an increasingly concentrated stock market? (alphaarchitect.com)

The Magnificent Seven—not the movie, one of the greatest westerns of all time starring Yul Brynner and Steve McQueen, but Apple (+35.2%), Amazon (+50.0%), Microsoft (+34.1%), Nvidia (+205.9%), Alphabet (+53.3%), Tesla (+111.1%), and Meta Platforms (+153.3%). Through October 5, 2023, these stocks had returned an average of almost 92%. Together they account for basically the entire 12.4% gain of the S&P 500 Index—an equal-weighted version of the S&P 500 would have returned just 0.1%. What, if any, implications does such a dramatic dispersion in returns have for investors?

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Bell Potter’s top stock picks for 2024

Bell Potter’s top analysts have compiled their highest conviction stock picks for the year ahead. The ASX 200 will likely finish the year with a total return of close to 10% – remarkable given the COVID-19 pandemic was immediately followed by unprecedented monetary tightening, geopolitical flare-ups, an economic slowdown, and instability in the broader financial system. Bell Potter believe individual stock-picking and balance sheet analysis will separate the winners from the losers in 2024. In this note, Bell Potter highlight their top picks from each of the major ASX sectors.

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How Will Equity Markets Perform in 2024? (Behavioural Investment)

(Hint: I have no idea!)

It is that time again when many investment professionals make predictions about how equity markets will perform over the coming 12 months. The only purpose of which seems to be allowing us to look back in a year’s time and comment on how pointless such endeavours are. Although it can be viewed as a harmless diversion, the pervasive culture of forecasting the unforecastable perpetuates damaging investor behaviour.

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The best thing you could have done in 2023 was to stick to your plan

Staying the Course is Harder Than it Sounds – Ben Carlson (awealthofcommonsense.com)

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